AV-CTL Div. 3 Reset

Wondering how the title race for Division 3 of the AV-CTL is shaping up? Well, Keeper of the Hoops has you covered as we break down the teams, the schedules and what needs to happen from here on out for each team to accomplish its goals. Click the jump and you will find everything you need to know about how the AV-CTL Div. 3 crown can and will be won.

AV-CTL Div. 3 record: 5 wins, 0 losses

Notable Tiebreakers: El Dorado, Mulvane, Winfield

Remaining schedule: @El Dorado on Feb. 8; vs. Mulvane on Feb. 12; vs. Buhler on Feb. 15; vs. Rose Hill on Feb. 19; @Winfield on Feb. 21.

Best-case scenario: McPherson popped the rest of the league by an average of 24 the first time around and that doesn't slow down in the second round. The Bullpups prove their dominance, beat El Dorado and Winfield on the road and take care of Mulvane at home to go a perfect 10-0 en route to a league title.
Worst-case scenario: If there's any question of what could happen, all McPherson needs to do is remember what happened at Circle - a stunning loss to a 1-win team. If the Bullpups lose on the road to El Dorado, a difficult place to play, and have to share the title, that would be extremely disappointing.

Odds of winning: 70%

AV-CTL Div. 3 record: 4 wins, 1 loss

Notable Tiebreakers: Mulvane, Winfield

Remaining schedule: vs. McPherson on Feb. 8; @Buhler on Feb. 12; @Rose Hill on Feb. 15; vs. Winfield on Feb. 19; @Mulvane on Feb. 21.

Best-case scenario: The best team from El Dorado since the 90s pulls off a huge upset over McPherson at home and wins out to grab a share of the league title. The Wildcats seemed to be a team of destiny in the first round and their good fortune continues in the second half.

Worst-case scenario: Losing big to McPherson creates doubt, which is not good considering El Dorado ends the year with 3 of 4 on the road. The Wildcats stub their toe twice and fall out of 2nd place in the standings and into 3rd, not much of a reward for their start.
Chances of winning: 20%

AV-CTL Div. 3 record: 3 wins, 2 losses
Notable Tiebreakers: Winfield
Remaining schedule: vs. Rose Hill on Feb. 8; @McPherson on Feb. 12; @Winfield on Feb. 15; @Buhler on Feb. 19; vs. El Dorado on Feb. 21.
Best-case scenario: Mulvane needs only 2 more wins to guarantee its first winning season in over a decade. The Wildcats will get more than that, taking care of Winfield on the road and then knocking off El Dorado in the regular season finale at home to come back and finish 2nd place. Beating McPherson in the Roundhouse might be asking a bit much, but it's not unfathomable for Mulvane.
Worst-case scenario: Another big loss to McPherson sends Mulvane into a spiral, which carries over to a loss on the road at Winfield. And the Wildcats drop the final game against El Dorado, finishing the 2nd round 2-3 and falling back to 3rd or 4th place.
Chances of winning: 5%

AV-CTL Div. 3 record: 2 wins, 3 losses
Notable Tiebreakers: Rose Hill
Remaining schedule: @Buhler on Feb. 8; @Rose Hill on Feb. 12; vs. Mulvane on Feb. 15; @El Dorado on Feb. 19; vs. McPherson on Feb. 21.
Best-case scenario: Winfield has the ability to contend with anyone in the league, but probably best-case scenario would be for the Vikings to rally for a 4-1 finish to the season with the lone loss likely to McPherson. But finishing 6-4 and likely in 3rd or possibly even 2nd place would be a nice prize.
Worst-case scenario: The Vikings repeat from the first round and fail to beat any of the top three teams in the league and they still have to play the bottom two teams on the road. Winfield stumbles down the stretch to finish a distant 4th or even 5th place.

AV-CTL Div. 3 record: 1 win, 4 losses
Notable Tiebreakers: None
Remaining schedule: @Mulvane on Feb. 8; vs. Winfield on Feb. 12; vs. El Dorado on Feb. 15; @McPherson on Feb. 19; vs. Buhler on Feb. 21.
Best-case scenario: After failing to beat any of the four teams ahead of it in the standings in the first round, Rose Hill splits with them in the second round and takes care of Buhler to finish 3-2 and move up to a likely 4th place finish.
Worst-case scenario: Rose Hill repeats the same win and same losses from the first round and finishes the season 2-8 and in 5th place. Losing to Buhler would be if all the wheels fell off the bus down the stretch.

AV-CTL Div. 3 record: 0 wins, 5 losses
Notable Tiebreakers: None
Remaining schedule: vs. Winfield on Feb. 8; vs. El Dorado on Feb. 12; @McPherson on Feb. 15; vs. Mulvane on Feb. 19; @Rose Hill on Feb. 21.
Best-case scenario: The rebuilding project in Buhler takes off in the 2nd half of the season, the offense improves and the Crusaders catch one of the five teams ahead of them sleeping to pull off 2 upsets in the 2nd half to escape the cellar of the standings.
Worst-case scenario: Nothing is better in the 2nd half and the same results repeat themselves, as Buhler goes 0-5 and finishes without a single win in league play on the year. After two tremendous seasons under Denny Wahlgren, this one would be disappointing.